ORLANDO · NOV 6—8, 2026
A locked, public record of our 2026 stage predictions—published with the lineup and waiting to be judged when official assignments arrive.
Predictions are frozen. When official stage assignments are published, each call receives a result without changing the original forecast.
The rules are public before official assignments arrive. That keeps the final accuracy mechanical, reproducible, and resistant to hindsight.
Predicted and official stage identities match.
Official assignment is a different stage.
Artist cancelled or was removed before playing.
After scoring, observed hit rates will show whether 90% calls actually land about nine times in ten.
Transparent predictions become useful knowledge when the misses stay visible.
Read Prediction Standard v1 →Official lineup source ↗Locked prediction workbook ↗Lineup checked at forecast lock · Record v2Sound, scale, curators, capacity, and historical programming are defined before artists are assigned.
A 100-point rubric ranks each artist against each stage and preserves the runner-up and score gap.
Exact matches score a hit. Every miss remains in the archive to calibrate the next year’s model.